# Probability Plots

This section describes creating probability plots in** R** for both didactic purposes and for data analyses.

## Probability Plots for Teaching and Demonstration

When I was a college professor teaching statistics, I used to have to draw normal distributions by hand. They always came out looking like bunny rabbits. What can I say?

**R** makes it easy to draw probability distributions and demonstrate statistical concepts. Some of the more common probability distributions available in **R** are given below.

distribution |
R name |
distribution |
R name |

Beta |
beta | Lognormal |
lnorm |

Binomial |
binom | Negative Binomial |
nbinom |

Cauchy |
cauchy | Normal |
norm |

Chisquare |
chisq | Poisson |
pois |

Exponential |
exp | Student t |
t |

F |
f | Uniform |
unif |

Gamma |
gamma | Tukey |
tukey |

Geometric |
geom | Weibull |
weib |

Hypergeometric |
hyper | Wilcoxon |
wilcox |

Logistic |
logis |

For a comprehensive list, see Statistical Distributions on the R wiki. The functions available for each distribution follow this format:

name |
description |

dname( ) |
density or probability function |

pname( ) |
cumulative density function |

qname( ) |
quantile function |

rname( ) |
random deviates |

For example, **pnorm(0)** =0.5 (the area under the standard normal curve to the left of zero). **qnorm(0.9)** = 1.28 (1.28 is the 90th percentile of the standard normal distribution). **rnorm(100) **generates 100 random deviates from a standard normal distribution.

Each function has parameters specific to that distribution. For example, **rnorm(100, m=50, sd=10)** generates 100 random deviates from a normal distribution with mean 50 and standard deviation 10.

You can use these functions to demonstrate various aspects of probability distributions. Two common examples are given below.

`# Display the Student's t distributions with various`

#
degrees of freedom and compare to the normal distribution

x <- seq(-4, 4, length=100)

hx <- dnorm(x)

degf <- c(1, 3, 8, 30)

colors <- c("red", "blue", "darkgreen", "gold", "black")

labels <- c("df=1", "df=3", "df=8", "df=30", "normal")

plot(x, hx, type="l", lty=2, xlab="x value",

ylab="Density", main="Comparison of t Distributions")

for (i in 1:4){

lines(x, dt(x,degf[i]), lwd=2, col=colors[i])

}

legend("topright", inset=.05, title="Distributions",

labels, lwd=2, lty=c(1, 1, 1, 1, 2), col=colors)

`# Children's IQ scores are normally distributed with a`

# mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 15. What

# proportion of children are expected to have an IQ between

# 80 and 120?

mean=100; sd=15

lb=80; ub=120

x <- seq(-4,4,length=100)*sd + mean

hx <- dnorm(x,mean,sd)

plot(x, hx, type="n", xlab="IQ Values", ylab="",

main="Normal Distribution", axes=FALSE)

i <- x >= lb & x <= ub

lines(x, hx)

polygon(c(lb,x[i],ub), c(0,hx[i],0), col="red")

area <- pnorm(ub, mean, sd) - pnorm(lb, mean, sd)

result <- paste("P(",lb,"< IQ <",ub,") =",

signif(area, digits=3))

mtext(result,3)

axis(1, at=seq(40, 160, 20), pos=0)

For a comprehensive view of probability plotting in **R**, see Vincent Zonekynd's **Probability Distributions**.

## Fitting Distributions

There are several methods of fitting distributions in **R**. Here are some options.

You can use the **qqnorm( ) **function to create a Quantile-Quantile plot evaluating the fit of sample data to the normal distribution. More generally, the **qqplot( )** function creates a Quantile-Quantile plot for any theoretical distribution.

`# Q-Q plots`

par(mfrow=c(1,2))

# create sample data

x <- rt(100, df=3)

# normal fit

qqnorm(x);
qqline(x)

# t(3Df) fit

qqplot(rt(1000,df=3), x, main="t(3) Q-Q Plot",

ylab="Sample Quantiles")

abline(0,1)

The **fitdistr(*** ***)** function in the **MASS** package provides maximum-likelihood fitting of univariate distributions. The format is **fitdistr(***x*, *densityfunction***)** where x is the sample data and densityfunction is one of the following: "beta", "cauchy", "chi-squared", "exponential", "f", "gamma", "geometric", "log-normal", "lognormal", "logistic", "negative binomial", "normal", "Poisson", "t" or "weibull".

`# Estimate parameters assuming log-Normal distribution `

# create some sample data

x <- rlnorm(100)

# estimate paramters

library(MASS)

fitdistr(x, "lognormal")

Finally **R** has a wide range of goodness of fit tests for evaluating if it is reasonable to assume that a random sample comes from a specified theoretical distribution. These include chi-square, Kolmogorov-Smirnov, and Anderson-Darling.

For more details on fitting distributions, see Vito Ricci's **Fitting Distributions with R**. For general (non **R**) advice, see Bill Huber's **Fitting Distributions to Data**.

## To Practice

Try this interactive course on exploratory data analysis.